Experiments

Experiments

Every experiment on the AIEN research ladder, with its scope, its receipt and its outcome, failures included. Everything below is rendered from one data file, so this page cannot drift from the record.

Where the research stands

Current level: L2, Brownian scope only, instrument certification. Outside Brownian scope the ceiling is L1. TY-2 does not change the ceiling.

The scorer behaves as specified on known stochastic cases. It does not mean AIEN discovered anything.

Read from the bottom up. Each step rests on the one below it. Filled steps are achieved, half-filled steps are partial, hollow steps are not achieved.

  1. L0Definition

    achieved

    Achieved

    Evidence: QS:101 "met"; definition only

  2. L1Compression bridge, EXP-001R

    achieved

    Achieved (tested regime, amended overlap gate, unsigned)

    Evidence: QS:102; EXP-001R final_receipt.json

    FAILEXP-001failed attempt, kept on the record

    First attempt at the compression bridge. Failed its overlap audit (S2), so no measurement was produced. Kept on the record, not deleted. Led to EXP-001R.

  3. L2Known stochastic structure, EXP-002A-B-CCurrent level

    achieved

    Achieved for Brownian scope only, as instrument certification; verdicts checked against the private sealed records on 2026-10-01

    Evidence: QS:103, QS:114

  4. L3Invariant or unifying structure

    not achieved

    Not achieved (interventional replication PASS, EXP-002D INCOMPLETE)

    Evidence: QS:104

  5. L4Active experimental choice, EXP-003

    not achieved

    Not achieved (blocked, not frozen)

    Evidence: QS:105

  6. L5Energy attribution

    partial

    Partial (protocol and fixture tests; no timed run)

    Evidence: QS:106

  7. L6Turing yield T/J

    not achieved

    Not achieved (blocked on L5)

    Evidence: QS:107

  8. L7+Sensitivity, replication, multiple domains

    not attempted

    Not attempted (L7, L8, L9)

    Evidence: QS:108-110

Experiment cards

One card per result. The badge is the verdict; the lines below say what it covers, what it does not, and what it waits on.

PASSCAL-0

CAL-0 calibration freeze

The measuring apparatus was locked down before any data was scored, so the rules could not be bent after the fact.

Status
PASS (freeze receipt TURING_PROFILE_V1_FROZEN=PASS) for EXP-001R; EXP-001 v1.0 freeze also passed, then its experiment failed
Scope
freeze of apparatus, profile v1.1, candidates, blinding
Claim level
none by itself (precondition)
Limitations
Frozen by receipt not git tag (D7); receipts unsigned (D6); candidate and evaluator share one OS user in separate jails (D8); PROTOCOL_CONFORMANCE.md item 50 stale ("open O3")
Next dependency
none
Evidence
freeze_receipt.json lines 2-4; QS section 2 row CAL-0
Receipt
calibration/experiments/EXP-001R/freeze_receipt.json
Commit
freeze C_f 8e6c5acd; receipt commit dee3eda5; PRs #97 45be6c84, #98 990ba326 (v1.0 freeze d3cba292, PR #94)
Date
2026-09-30
FAILEXP-001

EXP-001 compression bridge, first attempt

The first attempt failed its own overlap check, so it produced no measurement. The failure is kept on the record.

Status
FAIL, terminal (S2 overlap audit; S1 and S3-S9 NOT_REACHED)
Scope
compression bridge, first attempt
Claim level
none (no measurement produced)
Limitations
Gate crumb_digest failed, "1 shared". Kept, not deleted
Next dependency
superseded by EXP-001R
Evidence
final_receipt.json: verdict FAIL, criterion S2, code OVERLAP
Receipt
calibration/experiments/EXP-001/final_receipt.json, overlap_audit.json
Commit
result d5c97ce9, PR #95 e605a585
Date
2026-09-30
PASSEXP-001R

EXP-001R compression bridge, successor

The successor run passed all nine criteria on about 12.4 million events. It used an overlap gate that was rewritten after EXP-001 failed.

Status
PASS (S1-S9; EXP_001_COMPRESSION_BRIDGE=PASS)
Scope
successor, profile v1.1, two sealed groups 6,168,907 + 6,199,000 events (12,367,907 total)
Claim level
L1
Limitations
Used an AMENDED overlap gate G6 (Turing-profile-v1.1.toml:145) declared before data but written after EXP-001 failed on the old gate. Independent scorer matched 312 of 312 values, but it is a second scorer, not independent replication. Per-crumb bootstrap (D4). Unsigned
Next dependency
L8 replication (not attempted)
Evidence
final_receipt.json criteria and notes; QS section 2
Receipt
calibration/experiments/EXP-001R/final_receipt.json, REPORT.md, scorer_independent.json, uncertainty.json
Commit
result 190ff891, PR #99 806a9d6a
Date
run 2026-09-30 04:08Z
PASSTY-2

TY-2 Turing gain

2,559,679.825 bits of Turing gain

This is a gain in bits, not a yield. Yield is T/J (Turings per joule), and T/J is not established: no energy was measured.

On held-out data, the candidate model C described the events in about 2.56 million fewer bits than the order-1 baseline B, about 0.4387 bits per event.

Status
PASS (verdict=PASS)
Scope
held-out predictive compression, Turing Yield profile V0; candidate C (op + previous 4 outcomes) vs baseline B (order-1); fit seeds 1-7, held-out 8-10; 5,834,845 held-out events of crumbline control-learner search events
Claim level
information part of H5 only; sits below the L1 chain (separate profile)
Limitations
Ideal code length only, no decodable bitstream. Verify uses the same tool (self re-derivation, not independent). Not a scientific discovery measure. No energy. Post hoc op+prev1..5 scored higher (+2,722,851.799), not counted. Check: dl_b_ub 7484024867446 minus dl_c_ub 4924345042631 = 2559679824815
Next dependency
H4 then TY-7
Evidence
receipt fields t_microbits, dl_b_ub, dl_c_ub, verdict; tools/turing_yield.c:319; src/turing/ty_qrecord.c:343
Receipt
evidence/TURING_YIELD/ty2_heldout_receipt.txt
Commit
scoring code 487de8d7 (TY-1); PR #85 f0dc0af9; verify log PR #88 1b75aa81
Date
run 2026-09-29
PASSEXP-002A

EXP-002A Brownian Wave 1

Scorer certification on known random-motion cases. Passed under a successor profile; the first profile was blocked. Verdict checked against the private sealed records on 2026-10-01.

Status
PASS (Brownian Wave 1, sealed)
Scope
scorer certification on known stochastic cases; PASS under a successor profile (first profile BLOCKED)
Claim level
contributes to L2
Limitations
Not publicly reproducible until BRN-10 seals; erratum changed record text, no verdict; first profile BLOCKED; an intermediate v1.1 attempt ended INCOMPLETE (results failed to save) and is kept on record
Next dependency
BRN-10 seal
Evidence
QS:26, QS:45; architecture explainer:27,47-48
Receipt
PRIVATE aien-sealed (records in the private repo): commit 760bfe9 (EXP-002AR, profile v1.2, verdict EXP-002A PASS); also R3-49 results-v1.3 @6a90109, erratum @6b893de
Commit
profile commitments omega #100-#103, history #104
Date
2026-09-30
PASSEXP-002B

EXP-002B Brownian Wave 1

Passed, with its Occam curve passing separately under a later profile. Verdict checked against the private sealed records on 2026-10-01.

Status
PASS without its Occam curve; Occam curve PASS separately under v1.3
Scope
scorer certification on known stochastic cases; PASS under a successor profile (first profile BLOCKED)
Claim level
contributes to L2
Limitations
Not publicly reproducible until BRN-10 seals; erratum changed record text, no verdict
Next dependency
BRN-10 seal
Evidence
QS:26; explainer:28-29
Receipt
PRIVATE aien-sealed (records in the private repo): commit 1310e06 (PASS v1.2, Occam curve not computable) and commit 111a5ea (Occam curve PASS v1.3); also R3-49 results-v1.3 @6a90109, erratum @6b893de
Commit
profile commitments omega #100-#103, history #104
Date
2026-09-30
PASSEXP-002C

EXP-002C Brownian Wave 1

Passed, then passed again on fresh sealed worlds. Verdict checked against the private sealed records on 2026-10-01.

Status
PASS under v1.2; repeated PASS on fresh sealed worlds under v1.3
Scope
scorer certification on known stochastic cases; PASS under a successor profile (first profile BLOCKED)
Claim level
contributes to L2
Limitations
Not publicly reproducible until BRN-10 seals; erratum changed record text, no verdict
Next dependency
BRN-10 seal
Evidence
QS:26; explainer:30
Receipt
PRIVATE aien-sealed (records in the private repo): commit f546162 (PASS v1.2) and commit 111a5ea (repeat PASS on fresh sealed worlds, v1.3); also R3-49 results-v1.3 @6a90109, erratum @6b893de
Commit
profile commitments omega #100-#103, history #104
Date
2026-09-30
INCOMPLETEEXP-002D

EXP-002D hostile rules

One hostile rule could not be evaluated with the Wave 1 prediction format. No wrong verdicts on the rules that were evaluated.

Status
INCOMPLETE
Scope
one hostile rule not evaluable with the Wave 1 prediction format; 0 wrong verdicts on rules evaluated
Claim level
L3 not met
Limitations
Wave 1 format cannot evaluate that rule
Next dependency
Wave 2 contract
Evidence
QS:27, QS:105; explainer:31,49
Receipt
aien-sealed (not read)
Commit
none
Date
2026-09-30
BLOCKEDEXP-003

EXP-003 active experimental choice

Not run. Its contract is still a draft and must wait for the Brownian records to be sealed.

Status
BLOCKED, not frozen
Scope
active experimental choice (protocol section near .tex line 760)
Claim level
L4 not met
Limitations
Wave 2 contract is a DRAFT in aien-sealed PR #1, not accepted or frozen; must seal after BRN-10. Earlier selector kill test FAILED (chooser reframed as record-keeping)
Next dependency
Wave 2 contract acceptance plus BRN-10
Evidence
QS:29, QS:105; architecture RESEARCH.md:183
Receipt
none
Commit
none
Date
n/a
PARTIALENERGY-ATTRIBUTION

Physical energy attribution (H4)

The plan for measuring energy is written down and the code has fixture tests, but no timed run on real hardware has happened.

Status
PARTIAL: protocol pre-registered, code and fixture tests only, no timed run
Scope
TY energy attribution stages 1 and 2
Claim level
L5 partial
Limitations
TURING_YIELD_ENERGY_PROTOCOL_V0.md:5 "PRE-REGISTERED ... before any timed run"; tests/turing/test_ty_energy*.c are fixtures. Evidence is thinner than "partial" suggests
Next dependency
silicon timed run
Evidence
QS H4 row; tools/ty_energy_run.sh, tools/ty_energy_reduce.c
Receipt
none (no energy file under evidence/)
Commit
protocol 99c1f696; boundaries 4386897f; PR #86 071a1e17
Date
2026-09-29
NOT STARTEDTURING-YIELD-TJ

Turing yield T/J (H5 physical part)

Turings per joule cannot be computed until energy is measured, so this has not started.

Status
NOT STARTED (blocked on H4)
Scope
n/a
Claim level
L6 not met
Limitations
TY2 states no energy was measured; T/J (TY-7) uses the denominator in profile section 10. DIRAC-0 reports NOT_RUN
Next dependency
H4
Evidence
QS:24; TY2 last bullets; architecture DIRAC-0-SPEC.md:158
Receipt
none
Commit
none
Date
n/a
PARTIALBROWNIAN-CEILING

Brownian claim ceiling

In the Brownian scope the strongest claim is that the instrument behaves as specified on known cases. No report may say AIEN discovered a physical law.

Status
L2 only, instrument certification; L3 not met
Scope
Brownian scope
Claim level
L2
Limitations
QS:114 "behaves as specified on known stochastic cases, not that AIEN discovered anything". Rule: no report may say AIEN discovered a physical law (explainer:57-59)
Next dependency
EXP-002D, EXP-003, BRN-10, replication
Evidence
QS section 6; explainer:7,21,57-59
Receipt
n/a
Commit
n/a
Date
2026-10-01
NOT ESTABLISHEDGENERAL-DISCOVERY

General scientific discovery claim

No general claim of scientific discovery is made. Outside the Brownian scope the ceiling stays at L1.

Status
NOT ESTABLISHED
Scope
all
Claim level
none; outside Brownian scope the ceiling stays L1
Limitations
L9 (multiple domains) not attempted; TY-2 does not change ceiling. Rev 6 claim A proved on paper, B open conjecture, C untested hypothesis
Next dependency
L3 to L9
Evidence
QS section 1 and 6; DISCOVERY_CURRENT_STATE.md:18-20
Receipt
none
Commit
none
Date
n/a

Open the full research status record

Check it yourself

An experiment is frozen before it is scored, and its record stays public whatever the outcome. The same record is published as machine-readable data, the protocols sit with the Turing paper, and the Evidence page explains which sources count and where to find them.